Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PABLO-19 in Portugal from 25 Oct 2019 21:00 UTC to 27 Oct 2019 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PABLO-19

in Portugal

27 Oct 2019 09 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PABLO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Portugal
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	130 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (26 Oct 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Portugal)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	111 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	130 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to 5700 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	25 Oct 2019 21:00	83	150 thousand	No people	Portugal
2	26 Oct 2019 03:00	83	150 thousand	No people	Portugal
3	26 Oct 2019 09:00	83	150 thousand	No people	Portugal
4	26 Oct 2019 15:00	83	150 thousand	No people	Portugal
5	26 Oct 2019 21:00	93	10 thousand	No people	Portugal
6	27 Oct 2019 03:00	102	6 thousand	No people	Portugal
7	27 Oct 2019 09:00	111	6 thousand	No people	Portugal

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	25 Oct 2019 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	35.8, -32.2
2	26 Oct 2019 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	35.5, -31.1
3	26 Oct 2019 09:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	35.3, -30.3
4	26 Oct 2019 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	150000 people	35.2, -28.1	Portugal
5	26 Oct 2019 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	13000 people	36.3, -25.6	Portugal
6	27 Oct 2019 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	38.2, -22.6
7	27 Oct 2019 09:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	40.7, -20
7	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	43.8, -17.6
7	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	46.2, -17.8
7	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	46.9, -18.9
7	29 Oct 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	48.3, -20.3

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Portugal

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Azores	Portugal

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Vila Do Porto	SMA	93	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10000

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Formigas Island		Portugal
Vila Do Porto	PTVDP	Portugal

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in Vila do Porto, Portugal. This height is estimated for 26 Oct 2019 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (14 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 7 of 27 Oct 2019 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	Vila do Porto	Portugal	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	Sao Lourenco	Portugal	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 05:00	Dunquin	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 05:00	Smerwick	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 05:00	Ballyferriter	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 05:00	Clynacartan	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 05:00	Portmagee	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 05:00	Ventry	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 05:00	Chapeltown	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 05:00	Milltown	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 05:00	Knights Town	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 05:00	An Daingean	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 05:00	Ballinskelligs	Ireland	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 05:00	Cahirciveen	Ireland	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.